Trendency: The Difference Between In-Person Voting Versus Mail/Drop Box Was Staggering
a Trendency feature
It will be a while before all of the voter files are updated and available for post-election analysis. That will help us figure out exactly what happened on November 5th. In the meantime we will be conducting analysis on our own data and reporting the results when they’re available. Here’s what we’ve found so far …
The difference between in-person voting versus mail or drop box was staggering …
Voters who claimed they made up their minds in the last week leaned strongly towards opposing Kamala Harris since she became the likely Democratic nominee …
Among this same group of voters, the support for Trump was very strong going back to late July …
Among voters who said they knew who they were going to vote for three months out from the election, Harris increased her support from late July through August and then the numbers held, basically, steady.
Strong opposition dropped quickly from July 20th to August 4th and then remained steady until Election Day …
Among this same group of voters, support and opposition to Trump’s candidacy barely moved …
