Less Than a Week to Go ...
Lincoln Park Strategies takes a look at the election landscape as D-Day nears
a Lincoln Park Strategies feature
Special insights heard daily at #RealityCheck on WURD every Mon - Thur, 10am - 1pm ET LIVE at wurdradio.com or facebook.com/forwurd (10.26.20 edition). Wear your B|E.
One Week! One Week! We are almost there. Yes, this has been the longest election ever but we can see the end of the tunnel. Hang in there.
The surveys have been fairly steady over the last seven days and we are entering the last week of the election with the Biden/Harris ticket as the clear favorite to win. Yes: we have been here before. Yes: there is still a chance that Trump can … “win.” If Trump wins every state within the margin of error, this race will come down to Pennsylvania, where Biden currently has an average lead of 5.6 points. If Biden wins Pennsylvania, it is almost impossible for Trump to get to 270. If Trump wins all states within the margin of error and Pennsylvania (lots of "if" statements in there) then he wins. Possible? Yes. Likely? No.
In the Senate, Democrats are favored to pick up four seats, and lose one which puts the Senate at a 50/50 divide with the VP casting the deciding vote on who controls the chamber. The second Georgia race is leaning slightly towards the Democrats, but is still a toss-up.
Breathe deep and vote (if you haven't already).
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