HIT Poll: Majority of Black Voters Think Biden Should Run In 2024 ...
... But: just 74 percent approve of his job performance. Meanwhile: just 51 percent under 50 and 61 percent 50 and over believe their vote has the power to change issues that matter to them.
a HIT Strategies feature
In HIT Strategies’ first BlackTrack (survey of Black registered voters) post-2022 midterms, a majority (59 percent) say President Biden should run for President in 2024, even before an official campaign announcement. This includes 66 percent of Black voters 50 and older and 55 percent of Black voters under 50. And 74 percent of Black voters approve of President Biden’s job performance.
Additionally, the January BlackTrack adds new political figures to the favorability tracker, including newly elected Democratic House Leader Hakeem Jeffries, Senator Raphael Warnock, businessman Elon Musk, and Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy.
Racism: An Important Issue for Black Voters
When asked about the top three issues that are most important to them, 37 percent of Black voters selected “racism and discrimination,” coming in second behind “Inflation and cost of living” (51 percent). “Gun violence” (32 percent), jobs and the economy (30 percent), and “health care” (28 percent) round out the top five issues.
Power Perception
When asked how much power their vote has to make changes on issues that matter to them, 55 percent of Black voters felt their vote had power. HIT Strategies’ “vote power” question remains a key tracking question to measure Black voters’ level of political engagement and satisfaction. The number of Black voters who believe their vote has “power” dropped 10 points between October and January.
January BlackTrack Top Takeaways …
*HIT’s latest BlackTrack poll reveals a significant generation gap among Black Voters’ attitudes. However, few gender gaps existed between the attitudes of Black men voters and Black women voters …
69 percent of Black voters under 50 and 81 percent of Black voters 50 and over approve of Joe Biden’s job as president.
55 percent of Black voters under 50 and 66 percent of Black voters 50 and over believe Joe Biden should run for president in 2024.
67 percent of Black voters under 50 and 82 percent of Black voters 50 and over approve of Democrats in Congress
51 percent of Black voters under 50 and 61 percent of Black voters 50 and over believe their vote has the power to change issues that matter to them
45 percent of Black voters under 50 and 55 percent of Black voters 50 and over believe the Democratic Party is making progress on issues affecting Black voters.
* HIT’s latest BlackTrack poll also reveals a significant generation gap among Black Voters’ attitudes …
74 percent of Black men and 75 percent of Black women approve of Joe Biden’s job as president.
59 percent of both Black men and Black women believe Joe Biden should run for president in 2024.
73 percent of Black men and 74 percent of Black women approve of Democrats in Congress.
55 percent of Black men and 56 percent of Black women believe their vote has the power to make change on issues that matter to them.
49 percent of Black men and 50 percent of Black women believe the Democratic Party is making progress on issues affecting Black voters.
BlackTrack Favorability Tracker …
The Democratic Party has a net +45 percent favorability rating with Black voters
(63 percent favorable, 18 percent unfavorable, and 98 percent name ID)The Republican party has a net –48% favorability rating with Black voters
(16 percent favorable, 64 percent unfavorable, and 97 percent name ID)Kevin McCarthy has a net –25 percent favorability rating with Black voters
(17 percent favorable, 42 percent unfavorable, and 83 percent name ID)Hakeem Jeffries has a net +20 percent favorability rating with Black voters
(34 percent favorable, 14 percent unfavorable, and 68 percent name ID)Ron DeSantis has a net –27 percent favorability rating with Black voters
(18 percent favorable, 45 percent unfavorable, and 82 percent name ID)Elon Musk has a net –22 percent favorability rating with Black voters
(23 percent favorable, 45 percent unfavorable, and 92 percent name ID)Raphael Warnock has a net +22 percent favorability rating with Black voters
(37 percent favorable, 15 percent unfavorable, and 72 percent name ID)
Attitudes on Political Division & Violence
45 percent of Black voters believe political division will increase, and 44 percent believe the amount of political violence will increase compared to 2022.
45% of Black voters believe the amount of both political division and violence will remain the same in 2023 as it did in 2022.
11% believe the amount of political violence will decrease, and 10% believe the division level will decrease from 2022.