56 Days Till The Election ...
... &, according to Lincoln Park Strategies, here's where everything stands
a Lincoln Park Strategies feature
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To say that 2020 has been an interesting year would be a huge understatement. A pandemic, nationwide social upheaval, remote learning, unemployment at the highest levels since the Great Depression, but a stock market at record highs — predicting this year has been difficult to say the least. Now throw in the November election and "interesting" seems like a totally inadequate descriptor. With this in mind, starting today, we will be sending out a weekly update with the most important polling data available focusing on the presidential and state level races.
National Polling / Data
As many of you know we are constantly tracking the mood and opinions of Americans through our Trendency platform. On this platform we engage voters (and non-voters) over time through a short series of questions. These questions are not asked in a binary fashion but respondents get to allocate their responses. So the question is not: Are you voting for Biden or Trump? Instead it is: "What are the chances you will vote for Biden and what are the chances you will vote for Trump?"
With this in mind, the numbers below do not mean that 47% of Americans are voting for Biden, but that the average allocation is 47% for Biden.
This allows us to understand not only how strong the support is, but how that strength changes over time, giving us a lot more context around the numbers.
As we all know, we do not elect Presidents by popular vote. 270 to Win has a fun interactive map you can play around with and below is how they view the current standing of the Electoral College …
Battleground States
Senate Races
*Colorado numbers: Public Policy Polling
** No primary will be held for this Senate seat. If no candidate receives more than 50 percent of the vote, the top two candidates will move to a runoff.
Other News …
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